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Atlanta, GA | Posted: December 18, 2020
Research Horizons
Summary Sentence:
In a new paper, a team of ISyE researchers confirm that non-pharmaceutical interventions can help slow the spread of Covid-19.
Full Summary:
In a new paper, a team of ISyE researchers confirm that non-pharmaceutical interventions can help slow the spread of Covid-19.
Non-pharmaceutical interventions such as voluntary shelter-in-place can reduce the peak number of infections, daily infection rates, cumulative infections, and overall deaths.
Social Distancing on CampusA new paper authored by ISyE's William W. George Chair and Professor Pinar Keskinocak; Virginia C. and Joseph C. Mello Professor Nicoleta Serban; Ph.D. students Arden Baxter and Buse Eylul Oruc; and Metron Research Scientist John Asplund confirms what public health experts have been asserting: Non-pharmaceutical interventions such as voluntary shelter-in-place, quarantines, and other steps taken to control the SARS-CoV-2 virus can reduce the peak number of infections, daily infection rates, cumulative infections, and overall deaths.
Using data from the state of Georgia, the study determined that a combination of non-pharmaceutical interventions, with various levels of compliance that change over time, could in some instances cut cumulative infections in half and reduce the peak number of infections to about a third of what could have been seen, “flattening the peak” to avoid overwhelming a state’s healthcare system.
You can read a complete analysis of the ISyE team's findings here.
